The 1 and 2 Spot games do not lead to interesting graphs, so I begin with the 3 spot game.Ħ Spot and above offer very large prizes, but the probabilities of winning them are (literally) vanishingly small. For all graphs I do not include the probability of winning nothing it’s so much larger than the probability of winning something that the graphs would look boring (if you’re really clever you can just subtract the sum of the probabilities of winning from 100). Note that the axes differ from game to game. Of course, the house will use more than one deck, but the expected loss generally won’t go above 1%, meaning you can expect to lose over 35 times as much money playing Club Keno as you would if you perfectly played Blackjack. By way of comparison, Michigan slot machines are legally required to give no more than 25% expected loss (according to this source ), and optimal Blackjack play in which the house uses one deck gives an expected loss of about 0.16% (according to this source ). Never play 1 Spot.įor everything except the 1 Spot, you’re getting about a 35% expected loss. So, you’re losing money on average in all cases, but your best return is playing 2 Spot and your worst return is playing 1 Spot.
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